REQUEST FOR CBD NOTICE TITLE: Developing quantitative tools to forecast the effects of climate variability on the population dynamics of Pacific Salmon. SOLICITATION NUMBER: AB133F-06-RP-0148 RESPONSE DATE: 30 June 2006 CONTACT: J. Alex Smith, Contract Specialist, voice: 206/526-6379 or fax: 206/527-3915 TEXT: This service is a follow on to prior services. This publication serves as notice of intent to procure services for the Department of Commerce (DOC), National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), National Marine Fisheries Services (NMFS), on a sole source basis with University of Washington Climate Impacts Group in accordance with the authority of 41 U. S. C. 253 (c)(1) only one responsible source. The Government intends to acquire follow on services for the vendor to incorporate various greenhouse gas emission scenarios and climate model outputs to develop quantitative scenarios of future climate conditions for the NE Pacific Ocean and interior Columbia River basin. These variables will be used as forcing functions in an integrated life-cycle model for Pacific salmon developed at the Northwest Fisheries Science Center. Services required include: Downscaled future climate scenarios for the NE Pacific Ocean detailing sea surface temperature anomalies in the form of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and Victoria Ocean Pattern. Initially, these will be for 25, 50, and 100 year time scales. Downscaled future climate scenarios for the Snake River basin in central Idaho (within the interior Columbia River basin) in the form of winter snowpack depth and spring streamflow conditions. Initially, these will be for 25, 50, and 100 year time scales. The vendor shall then provide detailed electronic data and printed reports. The Government intends to negotiate a firm fixed price contract with a period of performance anticipated to be 24 months, commencing at time of contract award. NAICS Code is 541620 with a size standard of $6.5 million. This notice represents the only official notice of this solicitation. This notice of intent is not a request for competitive proposals; however, all submittals received by the due set forth in this notice will be considered by the Government. A determination by the Government not to compete this requirement based upon responses to this notice is solely within the discretion of the Government.

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